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Background and analysis on this conflict. For where it stands today, read the daily report; for how it got here, the full timeline.
Russia – NATO Tensions 4 min read
The Suwałki Gap is the border area linking Poland and Lithuania between Kaliningrad and Belarus. Its importance comes from land access to the Baltic states, collective defence and the civilian connections that cross the region.
Russia – NATO Tensions 4 min read
Russia–NATO tensions can escalate through deliberate attacks, spillover or miscalculation. Dated incidents and intelligence assessments explain the risks without turning military preparations into a prediction of war.
Russia – NATO Tensions 4 min read
Article 4 brings NATO members together when an Ally considers its security threatened. Article 5 creates a duty to assist after a covered armed attack. Neither sets an automatic military response to every incident.
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