WORLD WAR 3 RISK INDEX
Global geopolitical tensions remain elevated today, driven primarily by persistent violence in Eastern Europe, acute maritime insecurity across key Middle Eastern chokepoints, and recurring military posturing in East Asia. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine continues to spill over into NATO airspace and Black Sea energy infrastructure, while maritime trade routes in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea face heightened disruption from Iranian interdictions and lethal Houthi anti-ship strikes. Interconnected diplomatic and defense ties are evident as North Korean ballistic missile testing remains linked to defense supply lines supporting Russian operations, and Western coalition partners attempt to manage regional friction through coordinated naval deployments and diplomatic outreach.