WORLD WAR 3 RISK INDEX i

Verified situation report across 9 tracked conflicts, from open-source reporting to Thursday 24 September 2026, 15:10 UTC. Iranian maritime strikes and US secondary sanctions are hardening into an economic contest over the Persian Gulf. A commercial ship attack in the Strait of Hormuz killed a sailor. Tehran threatens to extend military strikes into the Indian Ocean. US aviation sanctions are disrupting Iranian civilian flights across the region. This confrontation directly threatens commercial shipping corridors and regional air travel.