WORLD WAR 3 RISK INDEX i

Verified situation report across 9 tracked conflicts, from open-source reporting to Tuesday 22 September 2026, 19:23 UTC. Iranian maritime interdiction threats in the Persian Gulf and Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian energy refining are hardening primary global energy and maritime corridors into high-risk transit zones. Tehran offered a conditional unblocking of the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing tanker attacks, while Kyiv's drone strikes forced shutdowns at major Russian oil refineries. This simultaneous disruption threatens global energy export stability and narrows diplomatic flexibility across both regional theaters.