Daily war report — all nine tracked conflicts, 14 August 2026

The index is a measurement, not a prediction, and it does not answer that. It reads 12.2/100 as of 14 August 2026 (low): a measure of how close the tracked conflicts are to becoming one war, computed from how far they reach into each other rather than from how bad each one is.

A 0-100 index over 2 tracked conflicts. Each theater is scored by fixed formula from open-source reporting, and the headline number is the collision index — what the connections between them make possible. It is calibrated against 10 historical whole-world moments.

1 of the 2 tracked theaters are active armed conflicts between states; the rest are scored for the risk of becoming one. A theater counts as a war when states are fighting directly, not when the number is high. For scale: Geneva Academy's War Watch classifies 102 armed conflicts worldwide under international law — this tracker follows the nine with world-war potential.

One a day. Every theater's write-up is rebuilt from that day's reporting, and every number re-judged from it. Every report since tracking began is kept exactly as published, with the methodology version that produced it, at wwiii.report/archive.

Open-source reporting from news wires and national outlets, collected daily. How the index is made is explained at wwiii.report/methodology, and each line of the report carries the articles it was drawn from.